Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
60 South Dakota St. 100.0%   14   25 - 7 15 - 3 25 - 7 15 - 3 +7.8      +7.6 25 +0.2 166 67.3 175 +7.2 72 +7.6 2
87 Oral Roberts 10.5%   27 - 6 17 - 1 27 - 6 17 - 1 +5.7      +6.4 32 -0.7 192 64.1 259 +9.5 43 +15.3 1
153 Oakland 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 7 16 - 15 11 - 7 +1.2      +7.8 23 -6.7 328 78.5 15 +0.8 160 +1.4 3
164 North Dakota St. 0.0%   15 - 13 9 - 9 15 - 13 9 - 9 +0.2      +2.3 108 -2.2 236 67.9 158 -0.6 176 -1.5 5
179 Western Illinois 0.0%   14 - 14 9 - 9 14 - 14 9 - 9 -0.7      -3.9 278 +3.2 80 53.5 344 -0.3 172 -1.4 4
194 IUPUI 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 11 12 - 18 7 - 11 -1.8      +3.5 83 -5.3 303 68.3 144 -3.3 223 -4.2 7
232 Southern Utah 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 10 12 - 17 8 - 10 -3.9      -3.3 263 -0.6 189 62.8 276 -3.9 232 -2.4 6
269 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   8 - 19 5 - 13 8 - 19 5 - 13 -6.2      -2.9 250 -3.3 269 74.6 36 -6.7 271 -6.8 9
278 South Dakota 0.0%   7 - 18 5 - 13 7 - 18 5 - 13 -6.9      -2.0 231 -4.9 296 74.0 42 -7.5 282 -6.7 8
283 UMKC 0.0%   9 - 20 4 - 14 9 - 20 4 - 14 -7.0      -2.1 232 -5.0 298 63.7 265 -6.6 269 -8.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
South Dakota St. 2.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 1.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 4.0 100.0
Western Illinois 4.0 100.0
IUPUI 7.0 100.0
Southern Utah 6.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 8.0 100.0
South Dakota 8.0 100.0
UMKC 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
South Dakota St. 15 - 3 100.0
Oral Roberts 17 - 1 100.0
Oakland 11 - 7 100.0
North Dakota St. 9 - 9 100.0
Western Illinois 9 - 9 100.0
IUPUI 7 - 11 100.0
Southern Utah 8 - 10 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 5 - 13 100.0
South Dakota 5 - 13 100.0
UMKC 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St.
Oral Roberts 100.0% 100.0
Oakland
North Dakota St.
Western Illinois
IUPUI
Southern Utah
Purdue Fort Wayne
South Dakota
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 1.7 22.7 70.3 5.1
Oral Roberts 10.5% 0.0% 10.5% 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.7 0.9 89.5 10.5%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.5% 9.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 10.5% 10.0% 4.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 89.5 10.5
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 95.3 4.7
2nd Round 26.2% 0.3 73.8 25.9 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 9.9% 0.1 90.1 9.9 0.0
Elite Eight 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Final Four 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0